MUFG Forecast: Upside Risks to the Q1 2026 GBP/EUR Forecast of 1.15

  • MUFG notes that the UK economy has performed slightly stronger than expected so far this year which has supported the Pound. The Pound to Euro (GBP/EUR) exchange rate briefly hit 7-week highs above 1.1950 before consolidating below 1.1900 The bank expects GBP/EUR to hold firm in the short-term before a medium-term reversal.