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Posted by
Two Blokes Jun 4 -
Filed in
Stock
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We initiate coverage on Ternium S.A. with a Strong Buy, given the market's overly bearish view on Latin American steel cyclicality and asset ramp-up. Our US$45/sh price target is based on a forward EV/Sales multiple of 0.45x on our below consensus 2026E revenues forecasts and implies 68% upside. We forecast Ternium trough revenues of US$16.2bn in 2025E, 4% below consensus, with a subdued recovery to US$17.1bn in 2026E.
