MUFG: Permanent Damage to Dollar Confidence, Q1 2026 EUR/USD Forecast 1.20

  • The Euro to Dollar (EUR/USD) exchange rate has hit 5-week highs just above 1.1450 before settling just above 1.1400 with dollar confidence remaining notably fragile. MUFG sees scope for EUR/USD to weaken in the near term, especially with a relatively hawkish Fed, but expects that it will secure further net gains to 1.20 by the first.