Super Micro: Big Opportunity Or Falling Knife? (Upgrade)

  • Super Micro's stock dropped 12% after reporting preliminary Q2 sales of $4.5-4.6 billion, below the $5-6 billion target, yet sales grew 18% YoY. Despite a profit downgrade and margin pressure, Super Micro remains profitable and is valued attractively at a 9.1x profit multiple, similar to Dell and HP Enterprise. The server and storage market is projected to grow significantly, driven by AI deployment, providing long-term tailwinds for Super Micro's sales and profitability.