Kenon Holdings: A Risky Play On Israeli Energy Shortages

  • Kenon's surge is driven by booming U.S. electricity demand, Israeli supply constraints, and a robust balance sheet, but geopolitical risk remains high. OPC and CPV's growth projects position Kenon for strong margin expansion, especially if Israeli energy shortages materialize and tariffs rise post-2026. Valuation offers a 12% base-case upside, with a bullish scenario showing nearly 49% potential, though the stock trades at a sector premium.